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Travel Forecasts

The Transport Data Centre's Sydney Strategic Travel Model (STM) produces current and forecast travel patterns for the Sydney region based on different land use and transport network scenarios. The STM is designed to enable users to assess the effects on travel patterns of planned public transport and road infrastructure projects and land use policies. It can also be used to evaluate Travel Demand Management scenarios such as the introduction of alternative public transport, parking and pricing policies.

The STM covers the Sydney Greater Metropolitan Area (GMA) and is based on TDC's 2006 Travel Zone system. TDC's travel forecasts provide average weekday travel between origin and destination zone pairs for the GMA. Forecasts are available for total travel or broken down by different modes and trip purposes. If required, these can be produced for different land use assumptions provided by the client.

The price varies depending on the combination of variables provided. The average cost of a forecast trip table is $1,100 (inclusive of GST). A 50% discount applies to registered users.

Forecast travel variables

  • Origin Travel Zone (2690)
  • Destination Travel Zone (2690)
  • Mode (7) - car driver, car passenger, train, bus, taxi, bicycle, walk
  • Purpose (7) - work, work-related business, primary education, secondary education, tertiary education, shopping, other
  • Year (6) - 2006, 2011, 2016, 2021, 2026, 2031
  • Time of Day (4) - am peak, pm peak, inter peak period (business hours) and evening

Travel model outputs

Other outputs are also available from the STM. The prices for these are available on request from TDC Client Services.

  • Speed on any network link
  • Travel time skims for network links
  • Number of vehicles using each road link
  • Vehicle kilometres travelled
  • Number of passengers using public transport
  • Travel time skim matrices (a.m. peak only for public transport)